A blog on US politics, Math, and Physics… with occasional bits of gaming

On the day Trump leaves office

Some day within the next few years, Donald Trump's power will be neutered. In some ways, it doesn't much matter how:
* He could die of old age and whatever health problems he has been trying to hide for the past few years.
* His popularity might sink so low that Republicans in Congress, the Supreme Court, and even his own Cabinet openly defy and ignore him
* He might get impeached.
* He might get assassinated.
* He might finish out his term of office still nominally in charge
* His endorsements and lies might become so toxic and his power so circumscribed by courts and Congress that no one even bothers to bribe him anymore.
* He might become so disconnected from reality and so brazen about attempting illegal actions & giving illegal orders that the US military and large portions of the federal workforce simply ignore him, refuse his orders, and dare him to fire them & get sued / brought before Congress in response.

Maybe it will be some mix of the above, with historians and journalists and pundits debating what the final nail was in his political coffin, and debating the exact date of his de facto end-of-term. But it's coming.

On that day, while the left is exulting in an evil vanquished, and 47 finally getting his long-deserved comeuppance, I expect a number of leading voices on the right to openly repudiate Trump-the-person, but find ways to embrace Trump's policies. Their playbook is all but written:
* "Oh, how could we know that he'd say he would do all these wonderful things and then turn out to fall apart under pressure?"
* "I still believe in a strong President, and we should still have a Unitary Executive. We just got the wrong guy for the job."
* "Taxes are too high, and Trump's main failing was that he didn't bring them down fast enough."
* "There are too many undeserving people getting government assistance, and we just need to kick out [the poor | gays | immigrants | mentally ill | Jews | blacks ]. Now that we've fixed those policies everything will be much better."

Trump's unpopular policies were chosen and shaped by the folks who were in a position to put checks on Trump, and who had the resources to understand who he was in advance. But they hid the weaknesses of those policies, and they sought out & blamed scapegoats.

When that man leaves office - however it happens, look for his defenders to use the above excuses, and to endorse someone else. Remember that they didn't care about the increased costs of living, weakened safety net, worse health care, increased wars, and increased domestic violence, and so on. Nor did they care how their own policies and hand-picked President, Congress & Supreme Court damaged the country. They don't care about you. They never did. The GOP leadership & their wealthy donors who poured money into Trump's campaigns, the Fox hosts who endorsed him and repeated his lies and fearmongering without question, the billionaires who backed federal cuts to social programs & increased paperwork to get aid & cut their own taxes, and the folks bribing Trump to get pardons - they're all looking for _personal_ power & wealth. And they're willing to sacrifice _you_ to get it.

To contest this, divide _them_. Split the racists from the billionaires, from the America-first nationalists, from the anti-globalists, from the populists. Point out how the party of "family values" put an adjudicated rapist in power who was widely known to have divorced multiple times. Tell the law & order types that they've endorsed too many criminals in government. Tell the "small government" types that their preferred party sent police harassing your friends & neighbors over the color of their skin and their choices about what to do with consenting adults in the privacy of their own home. Point out the conflicts of interest that have pervaded this Administration and ask for professional standards to be enforced & defended. Describe the Constitution as putting the President as an enforcer for the laws _Congress_ writes, not someone who can do anything he wants as longs as Congress is divided. Point out the red-state subsidies lost when Trump tried to shut down FEMA and USAID. Point out the destruction of American institutions & greatness & traditions when MAGA's hand-picked President bulldozed the White House, fired generals without cause, demoted soldiers who were meeting performance standards. Talk about the "isolationist" President opting for war in Venezuela & Iran. Talk about the guy who calls global warming a "hoax" threatening to take Greenland, which is already owned by allies and would only become more important as temperatures rise. Tell the folks who want a strong military how the laws of war and US adherence to the Geneva conventions protect US troops. Point out to the racists that many of the people in uniform are people of color.

This Administration is rife with contradictions, but its desire for totalitarian control is consistent, and the oligarchs & fascists who back it won't care about you any more once they've replaced Trump with their second-choice endorsement. If they've endorsed Trump, and if they had any sort of insider information to understand what kind of person he was & what kind of policies he pursued, there is _one_ thing they should be doing from now until he leaves office: working to mitigate the damage _they_ have caused to the US.

This Administration continues to crack, Kent leaving the NCTC is overdue